Jake Paul vs Tommy Fury Rematch: The One He Wants Back

Updated: October 2026

Every fighter has one loss that follows them around, and for Jake Paul it will always be Tommy Fury. Their February 2023 meeting in Saudi Arabia ended with Paul's undefeated record gone — a split-decision defeat that remains the most debated result of his career. More than three years later, with Paul cleared to return in October 2026 after the broken jaw he suffered against Anthony Joshua, the Jake Paul vs Tommy Fury rematch is still the sequel his fans want most.

Disclaimer first: as of October 2026, no Jake Paul vs Tommy Fury rematch has been announced, and Fury is not on Paul's "Before I rest..." wish list. Everything here is analysis of a hypothetical. Predictions are opinion, not reports of a real event.

The Night Jake Paul Lost: Tommy Fury in Saudi Arabia

Context matters. Going into Saudi Arabia, Paul was the betting favorite in many eyes and the bigger star by a mile — but Fury was something Paul had never faced: a young, active, traditionally trained professional boxer with genuine amateur pedigree. When the final bell rang, the judges saw it for Fury by split decision, handing "The Problem Child" the first loss of his professional career.

The aftermath defined Paul's next chapter. He didn't hide from it — the loss became the engine of everything that followed, from the rebuild to wins over Diaz, Tyson, and Chavez Jr. But a loss like that doesn't wash off with wins over other people. Only one result erases it.

Why a Jake Paul vs Tommy Fury Rematch Matters Most

Of all Paul's defeats, this is the one that stings. The Joshua loss can be filed under "he dared to be great and ran into a wrecking ball." The Fury loss was different: a winnable fight against a peer, on a night Paul simply wasn't good enough. That's the defeat that rewrites how people talk about you.

Split decisions breed rematch demand because both sides can claim the night: a few rounds the other way and the story flips. Only a second fight settles which version of that night was real.

What Went Wrong for Jake Paul the First Time

Analysis and opinion. Paul's problems were fundamental, not physical. His jab was inconsistent, Fury controlled distance in stretches, and Paul's money right hand found a moving target. When Fury smothered his work inside, Paul had no Plan B.

The deeper issue was experience: Fury had spent his life in boxing gyms, Paul a few years. In close rounds, deeper fundamentals get the benefit of the doubt. That night, that fighter was Fury.

What Has Changed Since 2023

• Paul is a much better boxer. The patient, defensively responsible version who outboxed Chavez Jr. in June 2025 would not lose the same rounds he lost in Saudi Arabia.
• Paul has championship-round experience. Going deep with Tyson and Chavez Jr. taught him pacing and composure that the 2023 version lacked.
• Paul has also been knocked out. The Joshua KO — jaw broken in two places, two surgeries, ~293 days out — is the kind of trauma that changes a fighter. Whether it made him more cautious or more determined is the great unknown of his comeback.
• Fury has his own questions. Long layoffs and inactivity have kept him from building on the biggest win of his career. Ring rust is real, and Paul has stayed far busier.

How a Jake Paul vs Tommy Fury Rematch Could Play Out (Our Take)

Opinion only — this fight is not scheduled. A rematch would look very different from 2023. Paul would enter as the more active, more developed fighter: establish the jab early, control the center, and don't give away the close rounds that cost him the first fight. Fury's path: use movement and fundamentals to frustrate Paul again, and test whether the Joshua knockout left scar tissue — physical or mental.

Our lean: Paul by close decision in a tense, tactical fight. The activity gap and his technical growth since 2023 are hard to ignore. But this is our lowest-confidence pick of any Paul rematch scenario — Fury's style is a proven problem for him.

Frequently Asked Questions

Has a Jake Paul vs Tommy Fury rematch been announced?

No. As of October 2026, no rematch has been announced, and Fury is not on Paul's published "Before I rest..." wish list.

Who won Jake Paul vs Tommy Fury 1?

Tommy Fury won by split decision in February 2023 in Saudi Arabia, handing Paul his first professional loss.

Why hasn't the rematch happened yet?

Nothing official has been stated by either camp. Paul moved on to rebuild his career with a string of wins, then suffered the Joshua knockout in December 2025. A rematch has been discussed by fans for years but never materialized into an announcement.

Would Paul be the favorite in a rematch?

In our opinion, Paul would likely open as a slight favorite based on his activity level and technical improvement since 2023 — but it would be close, and Fury's style remains a proven problem for him.

The bottom line: the Jake Paul vs Tommy Fury rematch matters most — not because it's Paul's biggest possible fight, but because it's the only one that rewrites his story. Every other result on his 12-2 record is settled history. Until Paul avenges Saudi Arabia or walks away from it, the question follows him into every camp. Our guess: he doesn't walk away.